LoL Worlds 2023 enters the penultimate stage on Saturday, November 11, with the first semifinal match featuring Bilibili Gaming and Weibo Gaming in what promises to be an exciting affair. But as good as these two teams are, the esports betting sites are synonymous in pricing BLG as the favourites, which makes sense. But does that mean BLG are the right LoL Worlds 2023 betting pick?
Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming
When: Saturday, November 11, 9:00 CET (17:00 KST)
Esports bookmakers have BIlibili Gaming priced as 1.40 (bet365) favourites to defeat Weibo Gaming (3.00), which doesn’t sound too crazy. Bilibili Gaming have had a very successful season and legitimately looked like one of the best LoL esports teams in the world.
Weibo Gaming have arguably had a very easy road to the LoL Worlds 2023 semifinals. That doesn’t mean they don’t deserve to be here, but they’ve so far faced NRG Esports (W), G2 (L), KT Rolster (L), MAD Lions (W), Fnatic (W), and NRG Esports (W). Interestingly, Weibo Gaming have faced just one Eastern team at LoL Worlds 2023, and even that sole match ended in a complete stop by KT. And that’s not a good look.
In contrast, Bilibili Gaming had to fight much tougher opponents to reach the LoL Worlds 2023 semis, and that’s saying it lightly. In the Swiss Stage, Bilibili Gaming played KT Rolster (W), JD Gaming (L), Fnatic (W), T1 (L), and G2 Esports (W), and then they humiliated the tournament’s second-favourites, Gen.G (3-2) in the LoL Worlds 2023 quarterfinals.
Beating Gen.G is no small feat, but it was in part thanks to Gen.G blundering their drafts in the first two maps, so I wouldn’t overreact to it too much. As noted in the preview, Bilibili Gaming haven’t looked like themselves at LoL Worlds 2023, and their win against Gen.G doesn’t change it.
You can still argue that Bilibili Gaming, despite not playing at their best, have shown more than Weibo Gaming, which is true, but also not fair to say, considering Weibo Gaming haven’t had a chance to show much more – given the level of opponents they have played en route to LoL Worlds 2023 semis.
And that is important to keep in mind, since Weibo Gaming, as shaky as they may seem, always post better performances against stronger teams. WBG will play down to their opponents and will look iffy when faced with weaker teams, but put them against any elite-tier squad, and you get an entirely different version of WBG.
At the offered esports betting odds, I like Weibo Gaming. We know that they shift into a higher gear when faced with stronger teams, and unless something changes, they should give Bilibili Gaming a fight for their money. That, combined with the fact that WBG have won the coin toss and that BLG are not playing as themselves, makes the prospect of Weibo Gaming winning very believable.
On the other side, you can argue that BLG are more battle-tested and better prepared for this match, which works in favour of some teams. But you can look at it from another angle – BLG had to pull out the big guns to defeat Gen.G, and they might not have anything left to show. Weibo Gaming didn’t really have to show anything remarkable to make it to this stage of LoL Worlds 2023 and you can be sure they still have something up their sleeve.
The offered esports betting odds here are just way too good to pass on. As much as BLG are still an elite team and might deserve to be slight favourites, having Weibo Gaming priced at 3.00 is disrespectful.
- Prediction: Weibo Gaming to win – 3.00 at bet365
- Prediction: Weibo Gaming -1.5 maps – 4.33 at bet365