BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 Betting Picks - Tuesday, July 18
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BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 Betting Picks – Tuesday, July 18

BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 continues on Tuesday, July 18, with two lower bracket final matches with Complexity and Ninjas in Pyjamas clashing in Group A and BIG taking on the new-look Natus Vincere in Group B.

The winners will secure s spot in their respective groups’ finals and a shot at claiming a direct invite to BLAST Premier: Fall Finals.

Complexity vs Ninjas in Pyjamas Betting Preview

When: Tuesday, July 18, 15:00 CEST

Complexity and Ninjas in Pyjamas will clash on Tuesday, July 18, in Group A lower bracket final of BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023. It’ll mark a rematch from the opening round of Group A when Complexity defeated Ninjas in Pyjamas (2-1).

Complexity won the first meeting with NiP with a reverse sweep, winning on Nuke (16-12) and Overpass (16-13) after losing the opening map, Inferno (16-14). Complexity were the better team on the day, but they enter this match as 2.10 (bet365) underdogs. That isn’t surprising because Ninjas in Pyjamas are the better team.

Comparing the two rosters, you can’t make a good argument that Complexity are in any shape or form stronger than Ninjas in Pyjamas. Complexity are the same team that failed to accomplish anything over the last two years, and their most notable accomplishment of the season was winning the (very weak) BLAST.tv Paris Major 2023: North American RMR Qualifier.

In bigger events and actual tournaments, Complexity haven’t come close to winning a trophy. And without making any major roster changes, you can’t expect better results. COL did sign Jonathan “EliGE” Jablonowski, who is making his debut at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023, but even EliGE can’t save this team.

Ninjas in Pyjamas have since their defeat against Complexity, won against Evil Geniuses (2-0), while Complexity got smashed by Team Vitality (1-16, 6-16) in BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 upper bracket final.

Regardless of how the first game ended, Ninjas in Pyjamas are the better team and should come away with a win. They still need a bit more time to shake off the rust, but Ninjas in Pyjamas should win and we’re getting solid esports betting odds on the moneyline.

  • Prediction: Ninjas in Pyjamas to win – 1.66 at bet365

BIG vs Natus Vincere Betting Preview

When: Tuesday, July 18, 15:00 CEST

BIG started BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 with a tough 0-2 loss against Heroic, who bested them with 16-7 on Overpass and 16-8 on Inferno. After that loss, BIG defeated Astralis (2-1) in the BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 lower bracket finals, needing to produce a reverse sweep with 16-10 on Ancient and 16-14 on Overpass.

Overall, BIG haven’t shown much, and with the recent roster changes, you can’t really expect them to. During the summer break, BIG added three new players, including Mateusz “mantuu” Wilczewski from OG, and promoted two academy players in Elias “s1n” Stein and David “prosus” Hesse. We don’t know much about the two academy players, and the two games they’ve played don’t give us much insight either.

They’re average, perhaps a bit below average for this level of play. Overall, BIG don’t look any stronger than they did before the summer break.

Natus Vincere completely overhauled its roster during the summer break, adding three new players in Ivan “iM” Mihai and Justinas “jL” Lekavicius, and a new in-game leader Aleksi “Aleksib” Virolainen. Moving away from fielding a Ukrainian-Russian roster also means that NaVi now communicate in English, but this sounds like a much bigger deal than how it is.

NaVI arguably downgraded its roster, and that was evident in their narrow win against Astralis (2-1) and a very one-sided loss against Heroic (0-2) in BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 upper bracket final. But Natus Vincere are still much stronger than BIG – and the offered esports betting odds make that very clear.

Natus Vincere, as disappointing as they might’ve looked in the first two rounds of BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023, shouldn’t be losing games like this, nor should they struggle to defeat BIG. Expect a quick 2-0 sweep.

  • Prediction: Natus Vincere -1.5 maps – 2.125 at Pinnacle

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