BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023
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BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 Betting Tips – Sunday, July 23

The second round of BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 Play-In stage kicks off on Sunday, July 23, with two fixtures in Team Vitality vs BIG and G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere. For the two pair of teams, this marks their final chance to secure a direct bye to BLAST Premier: Fall Finals 2023, 1,800 BLAST Premier points, and a $17,500 winner’s share.

The first round of the BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 Play-In stage didn’t serve us with any upsets, and Sunday’s schedule likely won’t produce any either. However, there are a couple of excellent CS:GO esports betting opportunities to explore.

Team Vitality vs BIG Betting Preview

When: Sunday, July 23, 15:00 CEST

Team Vitality and BIG will clash in the first BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 Play-In Round 2 match of the day in what is expected to be a very straightforward game for the Bees. Team Vitality enter the game as 1.083 (at bet365) favourites, which gives them a 92.3% implied probability of winning the series, which is an absurd number.

Team Vitality are objectively better than BIG, but I’m not paying this price on any team, especially in the first CS:GO tournament after the summer break. BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 has already seen some very close games between two unevenly matched teams, not to mention that Team Vitality slipped against Ninjas in Pyjamas (0-2) in the final match of Group A.

Up to that game, Team Vitality looked unstoppable. They crushed Evil Geniuses (2-0) and kept Complexity at just eight total rounds (16-1, 16-7) in the semifinal. But after two commanding wins, Vitality crumbled against NiP and lost (13-16, 14-16).

One poor result doesn’t mean that Vitality are now a bad team. Hower results like that prove what I’ve been saying the whole time – BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 or any other tournament that takes place straight after the break will see upsets and top dogs underperforming.

BIG haven’t accomplished anything spectacular this tournament, but they weren’t expected to with the new roster that features two academy players. Still, BIG didn’t look all that bad.

They lost against Heroic (0-2), won against Astralis (2-1), then suffered another loss against Natus Vincere (0-2), and bounced back with a hard-fought win against OG (2-1). Those are not the best results, but they are good enough for BIG’s standards.

I can’t say that BIG are a better team than Vitality, and more times than not, BIG should get stomped. However, at 2.50 (bet365), BIG to squeeze in a map offers some value.

  • Prediction: BIG +1.5 maps – 2.50 at bet365

G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere Betting Preview

When: Saturday, July 23, 18:30 CEST

G2 Esports’ run through BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 has been quite a rollercoaster. They started their campaign with a 1-2 loss against Team Liquid, bounced back with a commanding 2-0 sweep of OG, and kneeled to FaZe Clan (0-2) in Group C lower bracket finals.

For the BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 Play-In stage, G2 Esports got paired with Evil Geniuses, who were priced as 9.00 underdogs. But despite entering the game as massive favourites, G2 Esports nearly lost.

G2 took the series lead with 16-7 on Inferno but lost on Nuke (13-17), giving Evil Geniuses a chance to complete the reverse sweep, and they nearly did it. On the final map (Mirage), G2 Esports found themselves 10-15 down but somehow pulled it through and forced overtime, eventually forcing a 19-15 victory.

It was anything but a clean performance from G2 Esports, who came close to suffering the biggest upset loss of BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023. Luckily, G2 Esports have Nikola “NiKo” Kovač, who solo carried the game, averaging a 1.27 performance rating on Mirage (1.67 overall) – the only positive rating on his team.

G2 Esports’ road to the second round of BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023 was a bit bumpy, but Natus Vincere hadn’t had a very easy path either. They won their opening match of the tournament against Astralis (2-1), then lost to Heroic (0-2), defeated BIG (2-0), and suffered another loss against Heroic (1-2) in the Group B finals.

On paper, these are not bad results, but after watching Natus Vincere play, it’s clear that NaVi will need a bit more time to gel with the new teammates and learn to play under a new in-game leader.

G2 Esports and NaVi both looked relatively iffy so far at BLAST Premier: Fall Groups 2023, but for different reasons. G2 Esports’ main concern is they have to rely on NiKo to do most of the work, whereas NaVi are stumbling around, so even if the players are in better form, the cohesion isn’t there.

This seems like a game that could go either way, but I like G2 Esports more since, unlike NaVi, who have a lot more things to iron out, NaVi have to re-learn how to play with three new teammates.

  • Prediction: G2 Esports to win – 1.72 at bet365

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