LEC Spring 2024 Week 2 Preview - Day 1 Betting Picks
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LEC Spring 2024 Week 2 Preview – Day 1 Betting Picks

The second week of the League of Legends EMEA Championship (LEC) 2024 Spring kicks off on Saturday, March 16, 2024, with the first round of action. The first week of play gave us some insight into how the teams like to play and how they changed with the offseason roster overhauls.

While it’s too early to make any conclusions, there are a few esports betting opportunities worth exploring for the first round of the second week.

SK Gaming vs Team BDS Betting Pick

When: Saturday, March 16, 17:00 CET

Favourites have finished the job in most of the series played in the first week of LEC 2024 Spring, with 12 out of 15 matches ending with the favoured team coming out on top. This doesn’t necessarily prove much, as we’re still very early into the season, and it’s clear, the teams don’t have a good read on the meta.

Moreover, the roster changes didn’t seem to affect the teams too much in LEC 2024 Spring, so for now, we’ll continue putting more weight on LEC 2024 Winter numbers.

For this match, in particular, I doubt Team BDS more than some might. Team BDS looked well last split – for reasons I’ve stated several times before – but they didn’t impress with their performances so far. They struggled in their opening three matches of the split and didn’t look even remotely good against Rogue.

Even though Team BDS are a tough team to beat in Bo1s, they’ve not looked good so far – or at the very least they’ve shown less than SK Gaming.

  • Prediction: SK Gaming to win – 2.05 at Pinnacle, 1 unit
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GIANTX vs Fnatic Betting Pick

When: Saturday, March 16,18:00 CET

GIANTX are 1-2 after one week of play in LEC 2024 Spring, with defeats against Karmine Corp and SK Gaming and a win against MAD Lions. Over the three games, they’ve not looked good. In fact, GIANTX have looked so iffy that the only way from here is up.

Fnatic are a solid team, but even they had a small slip-up in the first week, when they lost against Team Heretics. This shouldn’t have happened, but perhaps that’s more of an indication of the Heretics’ strength than it is an indication of Fnatic’s weaknesses. Granted, it’s not like that was the first time Fnatic had an off-game.

I expect GIANTX to start playing better, but we don’t know when that’ll happen. And I’m not sold on the idea of GIANTX upsetting Fnatic yet, even though they’re an inviting bet on the kill handicap market.

  • Prediction: None

G2 Esports vs Team Heretics Betting Pick

When: Saturday, March 16, 19:00 CET

Team Heretics exceeded my expectations with their performances in LEC 2024 Spring Week 1. They lost their first series against Vitality but then bounced back with strong showings against Rogue and Fnatic, which wasn’t expected considering the off-season roster drama.

It’s not fair to make any firm conclusions after three Bo1s, but Heretics look competitive. Whether that’ll be enough to take down G2 Esports remains to be seen.

G2 Esports are Europe’s top team and it’s not even close. They took care of business against Team BDS, MAD Lions, and Karmine Corp without any major problems, and they’re expected to cruise past Team Heretics as well. Still, this is a very big number to pay on Bo1 game against a capable squad.

I wouldn’t blame anyone who wants to take a shot with Team Heretics on the kill handicap market, but I’ve not seen enough from Heretics to pull the trigger.

  • Prediction: None

MAD Lions vs Team Vitality Betting Pick

When: Saturday, March 16, 20:00 CET

Team Vitality looked solid in the first week of the LEC 2024 Spring. They took down Heretics and Team BDS, only to then lose against SK Gaming. For a volatile team as they are, Vitality have looked good and are perhaps a bit underrated at the current esports betting odds.

MAD Lions are still the LEC 2024 Winter finalists, but they – like Vitality – are a bit too volatile and they’ve hardly looked any better in the first week of the split. Until proven otherwise, MAD Lions are still the better team, but having them priced at 1.61 is a bit too much.

Betting on Vitality is hoping they don’t shoot themselves in the foot, which is rarely a solid idea. But at 2.46, I like Vitality much better than MAD Lions.

  • Prediction: Team Vitality to win – 2.46 at Pinnacle, 1 unit

Karmine Corp vs Rogue Betting Pick

When: Saturday, March 16, 21:00 CET

Rogue are priced as 3.40 underdogs against Karmine Corp. Admittedly, they’ve not looked good this split, but 3.40 is a huge offer considering we’re very early into the split. But more importantly, we have to ask ourselves why are Karmine Corp priced as 1.30 favourites?

This team was garbage tier last split, and while they’ve shown some improvement in the opening week of LEC 2024 Spring, this is the same roster (minus the coach) that went 2-7 two months ago. At this price, it’s assumed that Karmine Corp have figured things out and are now a good team – I’m not sold on that.

Last time Karmine Corp and Rogue met, they played a competitive series, and there aren’t many reasons to believe this will play out any differently. Karmine Corp have looked better so far, so that bumps them up a bit, but we were getting 1.83 on Rogue in their first meeting, and now 3.40? Ye, it doesn’t look or sound right.

  • Prediction: Rogue to win – 3.40 at bet365, 2 units

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