The fifth round of League of Legends Pro League (LPL) 2023 Summer serves us with three of what seem to be very one-sided games on paper, but all three favourites are known to occasionally lay an egg, so things could get interesting.
Here are our betting previews for LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming and Weibo Gaming vs Ultra Prime.
LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming Betting Preview
When: Friday, July 7, 15:00 CST
LGD Gaming are 2-10 and sit at the bottom of the LPL 2023 Summer regular season standings. Things can’t get much worse for LGD, but they’re better than people think. They’ve looked decent in some of their games and are fresh off a huge 2-0 upset victory against Team WE.
That’s not to say that Team WE are a good team or that they performed well in that match, but for LGD Gaming, that win was huge, mainly because it serves as an excellent morale boost. At this point, it’s a bit too late for LGD Gaming to secure a spot in the LPL 2023 Summer playoffs, but this doesn’t mean that LGD will just roll over and die.
EDward Gaming were one of the top teams in LPL 2023 Spring but have struggled to accomplish much in LPL 2023 Summer. They’re 6-6, which is just about where they deserve to be, if not a bit lower than that. EDG have been struggling in the current meta, and while they should make the LPL 2023 Summer playoffs, things don’t look too good for their chances to lock in a spot at Worlds.
In the context of this match, EDG are much stronger than LGD Gaming, but do they really deserve to be priced as 1.12 favourites?
EDward Gaming are highly overrated by the market, which likely has to do with price memory. Indeed, this team was excellent, consistent, and one of the most composed squads in the LPL last split. Now they’re a mid-table team at best. Their performance against TT Gaming last round doesn’t help with ranking them any higher either.
LGD Gaming are better than their record would suggest, and while they’re individually weaker than EDG, EDward Gaming’s past performances hardly suggest that they deserve to be priced as such big favourites.
- Prediction: LGD Gaming +1.5 maps – 2.25 at bet365
Weibo Gaming vs Ultra Prime Betting Preview
When: Friday, July 7, 19:00 CST
Weibo Gaming are very good, but this is a weird team. They’ll look competitive against top teams, and they’ve secured a handful of dominant wins, but every once and a while, WBG will slip against much weaker opponents. This is something that comes with having Kang “TheShy” Seung-lok on the team.
Over their last three LPL 2023 Summer outings, Weibo Gaming have lost against FunPlus Phoenix (1-2), won against Ninjas in Pyjamas (2-0), and lost against Team WE (2-1). Those results make no sense but perfectly illustrate what I said about Weibo Gaming – they’re inconsistent. And yet I fully expect Weibo Gaming to do well in the playoffs, mainly because they play to their opponent’s level. So what does that mean for this match?
Ultra Prime are 4-8 ahead of the next round of the LPL 2023 Summer regular season, which is a decent spot to be in, and it wouldn’t be too shocking to see them reach the playoffs. Anything beyond that is unlikely.
Last time out, Ultra Prime lost against Oh My God (0-2), which was expected, even though OMG are known to slip against lesser teams. But that loss also put Ultra Prime in a do-or-die situation where they have to start winning games to stand a chance of reaching the postseason. And as difficult as beating WBG will be, Ultra Prime have shown some good qualities and should be able to cause some noise.
They’re effective in doing something with their leads and are not bad overall, even though they lack the top talent of some other LPL teams. Their current performance metrics are a bit skewed, though, since they had to play JD Gaming, EDward Gaming, Royal Never Give Up, and LNG Esports and that does show in the offered price.
Weibo Gaming should win, and if they perform the way we know they can, WBG will likely crush Ultra Prime. But at the offered esports betting odds, you have to take Ultra Prime to win a map. WBG can easily turn into a pumpkin, and based on what they’ve shown lately, it just might happen.
- Prediction: Ultra Prime +1.5 maps – 3.00 at bet365