Match of LeGGends Betting Picks - Saturday, July 8
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Match of LeGGends Betting Picks – Saturday, July 8

Match of LeGGends is an upcoming Counter-Strike: Global Offensive showmatch, sponsored by esports bookmaker, GG.Bet. The event will welcome two of the world’s top teams, Natus Vincere and Team Vitality, who’ll show off their new rosters in a three-map event with a twist.

Even though this is a showmatch event, which is held more for fun than anything else, Match of LeGGends offers a couple of esports betting opportunities worth checking out.

Match of LeGGends Betting Preview

When: Saturday, July 8, 18:00 CEST

Match of LeGGends will feature two of Europe’s top Counter-Strike teams, Natus Vincere and the reigning Major champions, Team Vitality. However, most of what we know of the two teams from before the summer break doesn’t count for much due to the many roster changes that have happened over the last month.

New Rosters

Team Vitality accomplished the ultimate goal in May when they won Paris Major 2023, marking the first Major title in the French esports organisation’s history, cementing Team Vitality’s status as the best team in the world. A month prior, the French squad also won Intel Extreme Masters Rio 2023 and, at the start of June, added a silver medal from BLAST Premier: Spring Final 2023.

But despite all the success, Vitality decided to make a roster change during the summer break and parted ways with Peter “dupreeh” Rasmussen, who got replaced by Shahar “flameZ” Shushan. Replacing just one player likely won’t change the team’s identity too much, but there will be an adjustment period.

Adjustment is also something Natus Vincere will have to go through after the Ukrainian squad parted ways with three of its players and transitioned to fielding an international roster.

Denis “electroNic” Sharipov, Ilya “Perfecto” Zalutskiy, and Andrij “npl” Kukharsjkyj were all cut lose and replaced by Justinas “jL” Lekavicius, Ivan “iM” Mihai, and Aleksi “Aleksib” Virolainen who’ll take over as NaVi’s new in-game leader.

The question is whether those are good changes, but there is no clear answer, nor will we get it until we see Natus Vincere in action. Still, it would be wise to take their performance at Match of LeGGends with a grain of salt since this is the first time that the new lineup will play together, and secondly, because Match of LeGGends is a showmatch – so don’t expect the teams to give their all.

A Complete Coin-Flip

Not only is Match of LeGGends a showmatch, and therefore a game the players and the teams don’t care too much about, but we are also looking at two rosters that made significant changes this summer. So from a betting perspective, this game is a complete coin-flip.

And there’s another factor that doesn’t help with making any sense of what’s going to happen on Saturday. Match of LeGGends will have a unique format.

The first match of Match of LeGGends will be played as a best-of-one between the two new teams. After that, things get interesting.

The second match will see Oleksandr “s1mple” Kostyljev and Mathieu “ZywOo” Herbaut switch teams, and the third and final match of the day will feature rosters put together by fans’ votes.

Esports betting sites have Natus Vincere priced as 2.56 underdogs for the first map of the day, which seems mostly based on the fact that they’re playing the core which won the last Major. But we have to take into account that Vitality replaced a player and are fresh off a one-month break, so if anything, the teams shouldn’t be priced much further away from even money.

The same principle can be used to bet on the second map. The player swap doesn’t matter, and mixing and matching players creates a situation where there is no objective reason to consider one team better than the other. If you want, you can put a ranking to each player and calculate which team has a higher score, but putting together five good players doesn’t create a good team.

And again – this is a showmatch i.e. an even that was created for entertainment and not for teams to show all they’ve got.

  • Prediction: NaVi +2.5 rounds map 1 – 2.02 Pinnacle
  • Prediction: NaVi to win map 2 – 2.27
  • Prediction: Navity to win – 2.39 GG.Bet

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