MSI 2023 Play-In Stage Day 4 Betting Picks
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MSI 2023 Play-In Stage Day 4 Betting Picks

With Bilibili Gaming and G2 Esports convincingly securing their tickets for the main event, the Mid-Season Invitational 2023 now enters the first round of the Losers’ Bracket, where the Round 1 losers will clash for a chance to secure a spot in the Last Chance Qualifiers.

On Thursday, we saw Bilibili Gaming edge past Golden Guardians and G2 Esports, smashing PSG Talon in their respective group finals. Now we have two days of games between lesser teams, and while I don’t expect to see any high-level gameplay, that doesn’t make them any less exciting.

Movistar R7 vs GAM Esports

When: Friday, May 5, at 13:00 BST

Movistar R7 entered MSI 2023 with the longest outright odds, and they’ve yet to show anything that would prove they’re anything but the weakest team in the tournament. Like GAM Esports and any other team playing on Friday, Movistar R7 lost their opening series of the tournament, but unlike all other teams, Movistar R7 had to play Bilibili Gaming, who stomped them into the dirt.

That match was never going to end any other way, so I wouldn’t criticise Movistar too much. But it makes it very difficult to analyse a team that loses so hard.

GAM Esports lost their opening series of the tournament against Golden Guardians, and I can’t say I was impressed with what they’ve shown. In their defence, Golden Guardians are a fundamentally strong team, so it’s not like GAM Esports lost against a weak opponent.

GAM Esports have strong individual players, but their overall level of play (as seen in the regular season) is not at an acceptable level. That might not mean a lot if GAM Esports overrun Movistar R7 early and just use their lead to run away with the game, but thinking this way to justify a bet on GAM Esports at 1.20 might not be the play.

This is still a clash between two flawed teams who don’t have the talent needed to make any impact on the international stage. And knowing how iffy GAM Esports can be even if they gain an early lead, I’ll happily side with the underdogs.

  • Prediction: Movistar R7 +1.5 maps – 1.97 at bet365
  • Prediction: Movistar R7 to win – 4.33 at bet365

LOUD vs DetonatioN FocusMe

When: Friday, May 5, at 16:00 BST

DetonatioN FocusMe had some good showings at international events in the past, but they don’t look like the same team. I had hopes for this new-look roster, but it became evident that without top laner Evi, DFM are just not as good as they used to be.

The Japanese representatives suffered quite a humiliating loss against PSG Talon in the opening series of the MSI 2023. And it’s not like we can point out one thing that led to that loss – DetonatioN FocusMe were simply the worse team on the day.

Brazil’s representatives had a very similar experience in their series against G2 Esports and lost 0-2. Admittedly, losing to G2 Esports is far less concerning than losing to PSG Talon, but if a team gets stomped, it’s very difficult to say how good they really are.

But credit is where credit is due. LOUD managed to keep up with G2 Esports and won a few teamfights to keep the game interesting. Ultimately, LOUD’s poor decision-making and inability to close out games led to their doom, but we can take some positives from that series.

G2 Esports clowned around a bit which made the game look a bit closer than it was, but we must note that LOUD are not afraid to fight, which could be their winning condition against DetonatioN FocusMe.

Esports bookmakers have DetonatioN FocusMe priced as favourites, but I don’t see it. Admittedly, DFM have players who are far more experienced on the international stage and aren’t as volatile as LOUD. However, at 2.25, I’m ready to side with the Brazilian representatives.

  • Prediction: LOUD to win – 2.25 at bet365

Another day of MSI 2023 coverage is behind us, and there’s plenty more to come as I focus on covering the entire tournament with LoL betting previews and tips. If you want to learn more about esports betting, check out our hub, with recommended bookmakers, the best betting tools and services, and guides which will teach you everything from the raw basics to advanced betting strategies.

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